UDC 004.725

On the Application of Artificial Neural Network in Analyzing and Studying Daily Loads of Jordan Power System Plant

Salam A. Najim1, Zakaria A. M. Al-Omari2 and Samir M. Said1

  1. Faculty of Faculty of Engineering, Al Ahliyya Amman University
    Post Code (19328), Amman, Jordan
    {drsalam,drsamir}@ammanu.edu.jo
  2. Faculty of Faculty of Engineering, Al Ahliyya Amman University
    Post Code (19328), Amman, Jordan
    alomariz2007@yahoo.com

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a neural network approach to forecast AM/PM Jordan electric power load curves based on several parameters (temperature, date and the status of the day). The proposed method has an advantage of dealing with not only the nonlinear part of load curve but also with rapid temperature change of forecasted day, weekend and special day features. The proposed neural network is used to modify the load curve of a similar day by using the previous information. The suitability of the proposed approach is illustrated through an application to actual load data of Electric Power Company in Jordan. The results show an acceptable prediction for Short-Term Electrical Load Forecasting (STELF), with maximum regression factor 90%.

Key words

artificial neural network (ANN), forecasting; multi layer perceptron (MLPs), back propagation (BP), short -term electrical load forecasting (STELF)

Publication information

Volume 5, Issue 1 (Jun 2008)
Year of Publication: 2008
ISSN: 1820-0214 (Print) 2406-1018 (Online)
Publisher: ComSIS Consortium

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How to cite

Najim, S. A., Al-Omari, Z. A. M., Said, S. M.: On the Application of Artificial Neural Network in Analyzing and Studying Daily Loads of Jordan Power System Plant. Computer Science and Information Systems, Vol. 5, No. 1, 127-136. (2008)